Emilio Nava vs Juan Pablo Varillas Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Nava's recent second serve win rate is stronger at 47.86% compared to Varillas at 42.63%. Does this give him an edge? Likely, as it's correlated with match prediction accuracy.
• When it comes to returning second serves, Varillas holds an edge with 48.03% success in recent form over Nava's 45.78%.
• Varillas also surpasses Nava in returning first serves with a 28.63% success rate versus Nava's 22.71%.
• Under pressure, Nava shows better breakpoint resilience, saving 56.32% compared to Varillas's 46.15%.
• Nava has a higher match-winning percentage over the past year at 65.52%, while Varillas sits at 58.54%.
• Both players excel on clay, with Nava having a slightly better win percentage on that surface at 67% compared to Varillas's 62%.
• When playing in Challenger/ITF tournaments > $10K, Nava has been more successful than Varillas, winning 70.15% of his matches, while Varillas has won 58.82%.
• In head-to-head encounters, Varillas leads with two wins over Nava's one. Yet, Nava won their most recent match on clay.
• Matches between Nava and Varillas typically last around 1:51:2, which may indicate stamina is key.
• In high-pressure matches, Nava won their only deciding set encounter against Varillas, pointing to potential resilience in crucial moments.
• Over the past year, Nava has faced tougher opposition with an average opponent rank of 207 compared to Varillas's 257.
• In current form, Varillas converts more breakpoints, achieving a rate of 29.81% compared to Nava's 26.26%.

Editorial Prediction (September 17, 2025, UTC):

The comparison between Emilio Nava and Juan Pablo Varillas showcases intriguing dynamics. While Nava has demonstrated superior resilience under pressure, reflected by his higher breakpoint save percentage, Varillas exhibits a slight edge in return success, particularly against first serves.

Both players share clay as their preferred surface, though Nava shows stronger recent match performance in lower-tier tournaments. The fact that Nava has faced, on average, higher-ranked opponents might suggest greater preparation against tougher competition.

Head-to-head statistics slightly favor Varillas, but Nava's recent victory over him in their most recent encounter and his higher win rate in deciding sets provide compelling counterpoints.

Given Nava's overall proficiency on clay, better breakpoint performance, and recent positive head-to-head outcome, he appears to have the upper hand for this upcoming matchup, thus he is predicted to be the likely victor.